2025 Ahwatukee Real Estate Market Forecast

The Santistevan Group


The real estate market in Ahwatukee, one of Phoenix’s most distinct urban villages, continues to show a stable but nuanced performance as 2025 progresses. Known for its desert surroundings, planned communities, and proximity to South Mountain, Ahwatukee offers a unique snapshot of the broader Phoenix housing market. The following sections examine how current data and trends are shaping the Ahwatukee market forecast for the remainder of 2025.

Ahwatukee Real Estate Market Snapshot – April 2025

The Ahwatukee real estate market in April 2025 shows a shift in supply and pricing compared to the same month in 2024. A total of 124 new listings entered the market, marking a 27.8% increase year-over-year. This rise in inventory suggests more homeowners are willing to sell, possibly in response to broader market stabilization. However, closed sales have decreased to 75, down 21.1% from April 2024. The increase in listings and decline in closed sales points to a more selective buyer pool and a market where well-priced homes are more likely to move.

The median sold price for single-family homes in Ahwatukee is $575,000, reflecting a 2.0% decline from April of the previous year. The average sold price also dropped by 2.0%, now sitting at $694,532. Homes are taking longer to sell, with the average days on market reaching 65 — an increase of 25% from last year. Despite the modest price decrease, the per-square-foot average remains steady at $300.

Nearly all single-family home sales in April were traditional sales, showing no significant activity in short sales or distressed properties. The highest recorded sale in the month was a $2.8 million home, illustrating that luxury transactions are still occurring in the area. These figures add context to the broader Ahwatukee market forecast and highlight the importance of accurate pricing and patient selling strategies in 2025.

Trends Across Maricopa County

Median Pricing Trends

As of May 2025, the median list price for single-family homes in Maricopa County is $585,000. This figure includes homes across Phoenix, with Ahwatukee closely tracking that median due to its mix of mid-range and luxury inventory. The median price for new listings is slightly lower at $544,000, suggesting that newer homes entering the market are priced more competitively, likely to attract summer buyers.

The median list price in the condo segment is currently $350,000. This price point aligns with expectations for areas like Ahwatukee, where condos are newer and low-rise properties often located near golf courses or within master-planned communities. The consistent pricing for new listings at $350,000 shows pricing stability in the condo segment, without signs of inflation or rapid growth.

Days on Market and Seller Advantage

The average days on market for single-family homes in Maricopa County is 86, with a median of 49 days. In Ahwatukee, homes in well-maintained subdivisions or gated communities tend to sell closer to that median timeframe, especially those with modern updates or outdoor living features. The condo market moves more slowly, with an average of 105 days and a median of 70 days. Condos in Ahwatukee, particularly those without extensive upgrades, spend more extended periods listed before going under contract.

The market action index for single-family homes is 37, while condos register a 33. Both numbers reflect a slight seller’s advantage, meaning sellers retain modest negotiation leverage. Still, buyers are in a better position compared to the competitive markets of the past few years. Homes that are well-priced and well-presented still generate strong interest, especially in neighborhoods near golf courses, foothills, and newer retail developments.

Inventory and Market Supply

Inventory in Maricopa County sits at 15,464 homes, which has held steady through the spring. Ahwatukee contributes a meaningful share of this total, with most inventory spread across subdivisions like Mountain Park Ranch, Club West, and the Foothills. The current supply levels allow buyers to explore multiple properties without feeling rushed, but inventory is not so high that the market favors buyers entirely.

The current inventory of condos is 3,572 units. This reflects a consistent supply of attached housing options in the county, including those in Ahwatukee, where many condo developments were built in the early 2000s. Resale units in established communities remain the primary driver of this inventory, and newer construction is limited, keeping demand relatively strong for updated or turnkey units.

Price Adjustments and Relisting Activity

As of May 2025, 53% of single-family home listings have experienced price reductions, with only 3% increasing their list prices. This trend is mirrored in Ahwatukee, where sellers respond to longer market times by adjusting pricing to compete. Many homes priced above the $650,000 range are being reduced to attract wider buyer interest, especially those that require cosmetic updates.

Condos show a similar pattern, with 54% of listings showing price decreases and just 1% reporting increases. This indicates that condo sellers are even more sensitive to market feedback. Relisting activity stands at 5% for single-family homes and 6% for condos, signaling that some properties are being pulled from the market and reintroduced, often with new pricing or staging improvements.

Overall Outlook for the Remainder of 2025

The Ahwatukee market forecast for the rest of 2025 points to continued stability with no strong lean toward buyers or sellers. Pricing has plateaued, but there is no significant downturn. Inventory levels remain consistent, and demand is steady, especially in established neighborhoods with amenities and scenic views. The mix of home types in Ahwatukee allows the area to serve multiple buyer profiles, including downsizers, professionals, and long-term owners.

Buyers can expect more time to make decisions than in previous years, and sellers must focus on presentation and realistic pricing. Overall, Ahwatukee remains a desirable part of the Phoenix metro area, supported by mature infrastructure, strong resale appeal, and enduring interest in planned desert communities. The 2025 Ahwatukee market forecast reflects a balanced environment with modest seller leverage and long-term value potential.

Work With The Santistevan Group for Your Arizona Real Estate Goals

If you're planning a move in Arizona — whether buying a luxury home with a resort-style backyard or preparing to sell a desert-view property — The Santistevan Group offers expert guidance every step of the way. Based in Phoenix and recognized in the top 0.5% of agents statewide by the Phoenix Business Journal, this trusted team combines decades of experience with a personal approach focused on lasting relationships and stress-free results.

Contact The Santistevan Group today to learn more.



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